In a surprising turn of events, one of the main hopefuls in Ireland's race for president has withdrawn from the campaign, dramatically altering the political landscape.
Fianna Fáil's presidential hopeful stepped down on Sunday night following disclosures about an outstanding payment to a former tenant, transforming the race into an volatile direct competition between a centre-right former government minister and an non-aligned left-leaning parliamentarian.
The 54-year-old Gavin, a political novice who was parachuted into the race after professional experiences in athletics, flying and armed forces, stepped aside after it came to light he had failed to return a rent overpayment of over three thousand euros when he was a lessor about in the mid-2000s, during a period of economic hardship.
"I made a mistake that was inconsistent with my character and the standards I set myself. I am currently resolving the issue," he stated. "I have also thought long and hard, regarding the possible effects of the ongoing campaign on the welfare of my loved ones and companions.
"Weighing all these factors, I have decided to withdraw from the race for the presidency with right away and go back to my family."
A major surprise in a presidential campaign in recent history reduced the field to Heather Humphreys, a ex-minister who is campaigning for the incumbent center-right Fine Gael party, and Catherine Connolly, an vocal advocate for Palestine who is supported by Sinn Féin and small leftwing opposition parties.
Gavin's exit also caused a problem for the leader of Fianna Fáil, the party chief, who had risked his standing by nominating an inexperienced hopeful over the doubts of fellow members.
The leader stated it was about not wanting to "create turmoil" to the presidency and was correct to step down. "He acknowledged that he made an error in relation to an matter that has arisen in recent days."
Even with a track record of competence and success in commerce and athletics – Gavin had steered Dublin's Gaelic football team to multiple successive wins – his political bid struggled through blunders that caused him to fall behind in an survey even before the unpaid debt disclosure.
Party members who had objected to picking Gavin said the fiasco was a "significant mistake" that would have "ramifications" – a barely concealed caution to Martin.
His name may still appear for selection in the election on 24 October, which will finish the long service of the current president, but voters now face a binary choice between a traditional center candidate and an non-aligned left-leaning candidate. Survey results prior to the withdrawal gave Connolly 32% support and 23 percent for Humphreys, with the former candidate at 15 percent.
According to voting regulations, voters select contenders based on preference. In case nobody reaches 50% on the first count, the contender receiving the lowest initial choices is removed and their ballots are redistributed to the following option.
Observers anticipated that if Gavin was eliminated, most of his votes would go to Humphreys, and conversely, boosting the chance that a mainstream contender would attain the presidency for the allied parties.
The role of president is a mostly representative role but Higgins and his predecessors turned it into a venue for worldwide concerns.
Connolly, 68, from Galway, would introduce a robust progressive perspective to that legacy. She has criticized free-market policies and remarked the group represents "an integral component" of the Palestinian community. Connolly has alleged the alliance of warmongering and compared the country's raised military budget to the pre-war era, when the Nazi leader built up military forces.
The 62-year-old Humphreys, has encountered examination over her performance in government in cabinets that oversaw a accommodation problem. As a Protestant from the northern county, she has also been criticised over her inability to speak Irish but said her faith tradition could aid in securing Northern Ireland's unionists in a reunified nation.
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